"The greatest chances for warmer-than-normal conditions extend across the Southern tier of the US from the Southwest, across the Gulf states and into the Southeast", according to NOAA.
The Northeast could be spared from a harsh winter for the third year in a row, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The forecast for the South and Southwest is not good - With 47 percent of the continental USA blanketed by drought, this means it will only get worse during the months that usually bring relief.
Drought conditions are the most widespread they have been in the lower 48 states in more than seven years, since September 2013, NOAA said. The country is now in its most widespread drought since 2013.
The greatest chances for warmer-than-normal conditions extend from the Southwest, across the Gulf states, and the Southeast.
NOAA's Winter Outlook favors a warmer than average season across Mid-State
Wetter-than-average conditions are most likely from the Pacific Northwest, Northern Plains, Great Lakes and into the Ohio Valley.
On Sept. 30, long-range forecasters from AccuWeather called for cool temperatures in the early winter in the northeastern region of the United States, followed by milder temperatures and fewer opportunities for snow once the calendar turns to January and February. The remainder of the USA, including the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast falls into the category of equal chances for below-, near-, or above-average precipitation.
NOAA's global climate report for September also found the average global land and ocean surface temperatures were the highest since the agency started keeping records in 1880.
"NOAA's timely and accurate seasonal outlooks and short-term forecasts are the result of improved satellite observations, more detailed computer forecast modeling, and expanding supercomputing capacity", Neil Jacobs, NOAA's acting administrator, said.