NOAA: Tropical Storm Rene Track, Spaghetti Models

Topical Storm Paulette forms in Atlantic with a second system expected to become Rene later today

As of 5 p.m. Tuesday, Rene is moving toward the west near 16 miles per hour, and a motion toward the west or west-northwest is expected over the next couple of days, followed by a turn to the northwest. It could also become a tropical storm, possibly before TD 17, and the hurricane center thinks it could become a hurricane by later in the week.

Forecasters said gradual development will be possible over the next few days "and it could become a tropical depression while it moves slowly westward to west-northwestward".

Rene is the earliest "R-named" storm in a record-setting hurricane season, breaking the previous record of Rita, which formed September 18, 2005. Indeed, so far the 2020 season has only produced one major hurricane - that is, Category 3 or higher - in the form of Hurricane Laura, which reached Category 4 prior to impacting the U.S. Gulf Coast with extreme winds and major storm surge last month.

As of the 5 a.m. Tuesday update, Paulette is about 1,250 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands and is moving northwest at 6 mph with maximum winds that have grown overnight to 50 mph.

Not much strengthening is predicted for this storm between Tuesday and Thursday.

There are now two tropical depressions in the Atlantic, and both could become tropical storms today, according to the National Hurricane Center. By midweek, some weakening is forecast due to an increase in shear from an enhanced mid-oceanic upper-level trough.

Tropical models show that Paulette will draw closer to Bermuda by next week. At this time, there is no threat to Southwest Florida.

We're only a couple days away from the historical peak of hurricane season, and it's already been a historically fast start to the season.

The current expectation is Tropical Storm Rene will strengthen enough to be upgraded to hurricane status in a couple of days.



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