Trump to watch midterm election returns with family, friends at White House

People watch election returns in Times Square on election night in 2016. After the exit polls appeared to be significantly off in that election Fox News and the AP broke with other news organizations to start a new system. That could mean competing narra

The entire 435-member House of Representatives and a third of the 100-seat Senate are up for grabs.

According to FiveThirtyEight's polling forecast, Democrats have an 87.7% chance of winning control. If the Democrats have to gain control, they have to win 40 seats more than what they did in the last mid-term poll in 2014.

This looks increasingly unlikely, but Donald Trump's position has been cited as a core reason people are voting against the Republicans in the House.

The closest Senate races to watch are in Arizona, Florida, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, Nevada and West Virginia - five of which feature sitting Democratic senators seeking reelection.

Republicans are favoured to retain their slight majority in the U.S. Senate, now at two seats, which would let them retain the power to approve U.S. Supreme Court and other judicial nominations on straight party-line votes.

After a campaign in which Trump was accused of race-baiting with repeated and unsubstantiated references to an "invasion" of undocumented immigrants bent on rape and murder, left-right divisions in America could not be deeper.

A man wearing a Space Force shirt documents the scene before a campaign rally with President Donald Trump at the Bojangles Coliseum on October 26, 2018 in Charlotte, North Carolina.

"Democrats want to invite caravan after caravan of illegal aliens to pour into our country".

While the economy continues to thrive, Trump has spent much of the campaign's final days railing against a caravan of Latin American immigrants hoping to seek asylum at the USA border. "No nation can allow its borders to be overrun".

"I think they will be both miserable and emboldened", says Rove.

"I would say tone".

Pollsters are pegging the Democrats as most likely to take control of the House of Representatives, but the Senate is a much bigger ask. A CNN poll gave Democrats the largest margin, a 13-point advantage; an NBC/Wall Street Journal poll had the Democratic lead at 7 points.


A scenario where the Republicans held the presidency and the two chambers of Congress only to lose the House in the midterm election has only happened twice - in 1910 and 1930.

"Even though I'm not on the ballot, in a certain way I am on the ballot", Trump said during a tele-town hall organized by his re-election campaign Monday to encourage Republicans to get out and vote. When you participate in the political process, you can be a check on bad behavior. "Tomorrow with your votes, you can stop the radical resistance in its tracks".

Addressing his supporters, he said, "The key is you have to go out to vote because in a sense I am on the ticket".

The approach has drawn a push back from some in his party, with Paul Ryan, the top Republican in the House, reportedly urging Mr Trump to focus more on the booming United States economy, which has surpassed 3 per cent growth.

Ronna McDaniel, head of the Republican National Committee, said on ABC's "This Week" program that the media had chosen to focus on Trump's immigration rhetoric but the president was also emphasizing economic and job gains under his presidency.

The midterm elections are widely seen as a referendum on his politics. Both Trump critics and supporters are keen to make their opinions known in the polls about the controversial USA leader's first two years in office. Senate Republicans can continue to confirm judges at record rates. RealClearPolitics puts Trump's average approval at about 43 percent, with 53 percent disapproving.

Voters will also cast ballots in 36 governor races and many local and state elections. "That is particularly true when a president is unpopular, as this president is".

Firstly, it would mean the party could block legislation proposed by the president.

Republicans were keenly aware that losing their majority will hamstring his political agenda over the next two years.

"It's up to voters whether they get the gavel".

"We have an energy over the last couple of weeks that people have not seen in the Republican Party, and it feels very much like '16 because they love what we've done, and they want to keep it going". "And especially in the House where a simple majority gives you nearly absolute power to again set the agenda and get bills across the floor".

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