NFL Playoff Picks Against The Spread 2018: Predictions ATS For Divisional Games

NFL Playoff Picks Against The Spread 2018: Predictions ATS For Divisional Games

Tomlin's Pittsburgh Steelers will play at home, along with Belichick's Patriots, but Payton has to take the New Orleans Saints north to face the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium - the site of Super Bowl LII.

The NFC Divisional round of the NFL Playoffs is upon us. The Patriots have been automatic when it comes to the divisional playoffs, reaching the AFC Championship Game in every year since 2012. The only outlier: the 2015 Carolina Panthers. Despite losing their starting running back (Dalvin Cook) and starting quarterback (Sam Bradford) to injury, the purple and gold are once again on the precipice of greatness and looking to becoming the first team in National Football League history to host the Super Bowl. Yes, even after accounting for Nick Foles. They didn't achieve the NFL's best record simply because of Wentz, and they still won the first two games after his injury.

For instance, Philadelphia surrendered 7.7 fewer points per game than expected based on the down, distance and field position of each opposing play against.

The Patriots have been superb at home in the postseason with six straight wins in Foxborough. The Steelers offense is out for revenge, and with all the talent on that side of the ball they will score at least 20 points. The Eagles also stuffed 28 percent of rushers at or behind the line of scrimmage during the regular season, 10 percentage points better than the Rams (18 percent). Vikings receiver Adam Thielen is turning into a star with 91 catches for 1,276 yards and running back Latavius Murray started to come on over the last month of the regular season. He completed 12 of 23 passes for 87 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions and actually was more productive on the ground (10 carries for 88 yards) than he was through the air. It's that same defense that allowed Jacksonville to win in Pittsburgh 30-9 in Week 5.

Oct 8, 2017; Pittsburgh, PA, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. His passer rating drops from 103.5 to 62.1 under pressure this season, roughly the difference between Drew Brees (103.9 passer rating) and DeShone Kizer (60.5, the worst rating by a passer this season). I think this will be a back alley brawl.

When the Buffalo Bills went up against the Jacksonville Jaguars, the performances of both teams made it very hard to tell that they were playing in January. If the defense plays with the intensity they brought into Los Angeles, the Falcons will have a great chance of leaving Philadelphia with a victory.



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