Earlier this week, a poll from the University of North Florida showed Nelson with 37 percent, Scott at 36 percent while 7 percent back other candidates and 20 percent are not sure. But speculation has swirled that he will run for Nelson's seat, and President Trump has encouraged him to do so.
It's a virtual tie in terms of party loyalty, with 82 percent of registered Democrats backing Nelson, compared to 81 percent of Republicans for Scott.
Mason-Dixon unveiled a poll on Thursday morning showing Nelson and Scott knotted together with 44 percent each while 12 percent of those surveyed are undecided.
But the current poll shows an increase in support for the governor and shows he is seen more favorably than Nelson, according to the poll.
"The swing has come primarily among unaffiliated voters, with Scott taking a 44-40 percent lead", pollster Brad Coker wrote in a memo summarizing the results.
The poll comes more than a month after Hurricane Irma swept through the state.
The statewide survey was conducted by phone October 17-19, using quotas assigned to reflect voter turnout by county. The survey had a 4-percentage point margin of error. In the February Mason-Dixon poll, Nelson led 46 percent to 37 percent with these voters.
Scott also edged out Nelson in job performance ratings, with 53 percent of those surveyed approving of the governor's performance and 50 percent giving Nelson a nod.
Scott has made up ground with voters outside the major parties. But more voters also view Scott unfavorably, with 33 percent to Nelson's 21 percent.
Nelson and Scott are both in good shape with Florida voters.
"Gov. Rick Scott just purchased $2 million in TV ads to try to boost his campaign against me here in Florida".
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