Varcoe: Canada's ambassador not anxious about energy as NAFTA talks resume

Canada's Foreign Minister Chrystia Freeland speaks during a press conference at the end of the second round of NAFTA renegotiations with Mexico and the U.S. in Mexico City on Sept. 5 2017. The next round of talks take place in Ottawa this weekend

"The trend of Canada and Mexico using more non-US made parts may mean even more bad news for American producers".

Political distractions caused by the US mid-term elections and the Mexican presidential vote next year could freeze the prolonged North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) talks, said Tomasz Swiecki, a trade expert at the local University of British Columbia (UBC). Per capita this represents 11 of every 1,000 workers in Mexico, and 14 per 1,000 workers in the United States.

Automakers on both sides of the border contend the USA position would disrupt their fully integrated North American supply chain, add costly red tape and ultimately weaken the North American industry's competitiveness. "So this has been a non-starter long before Donald Trump". But the real priority is going to be getting the tax bill through", Ross said, adding the president has not forgotten his "campaign promises. "We share a lot of history and a lot of culture and building a wall will not solve problems, it will only create more".

The U.S. had a $63.4 billion trade deficit with Mexico in 2016. However, a 2017 conclusion seems unlikely given the complexity of the negotiations and the parties' serious differences on many key issues.

According to the Daily Livestock Report, "Exports of hogs and pigs to the United States should post year-over-year gains driven by new US slaughter plants". These first official exchange on canadian soil, which will be conducted till Wednesday, could help tackle the challenges more hard.

"If we don't see something like the digital chapter ... some very strong, completed text on that emerge by the end of this third round, I'd say that's a very strong signal that we're not going to get this done". While there are serious questions as to whether President Trump has the legal authority to make good on his threats to withdraw from NAFTA, no one can completely discount that he might try.

Ottawa-based worldwide trade strategist Peter Clark, who was involved in the original NAFTA and Canada-US free trade negotiations, said he expects to see "some visible progress" out of the Ottawa round. It has been credited with booming trade between the three nations. Currently, Arizona imports approximately $7.4 billion in goods from Mexico, and exports $8.3 billion in goods to Mexico.

Corn exports to Mexico alone are worth an estimated $2.6 billion, while soybean exports to Mexico from the USA are worth an estimated $1.5 billion. Mexico's position, as expressed by Mr. Smith, is that Mexico welcomes the process as an opportunity to update NAFTA and modernize the document to reflect the economic changes that both the US and Mexico have experienced over the past 23 years.

But Thomas D'Aquino, a Canadian who is co-chair of the North American Forum, echoed Napolitano's optimism for a modernized deal that can benefit all three countries.

"We have an opportunity to renegotiate this failed agreement, but we must do so in a way that puts working families first", Dingell said.

At the same time, Ross said the study shows content from non-NAFTA countries was rising over the same period, suggesting the origin rules needed to more tightly restrict NAFTA access benefits. "We're all in this together and whether we succeed or not, we'll have a great impact on our future".

The administration has not yet revealed its rules of origin targets, but some auto industry lobbyists and executives expect the Trump administration to seek a regional automotive content requirement of 70 percent or more, and a USA -specific content requirement of at least 35 percent.

She said border states like California share geography and a cultural history with Mexico, in addition to hosting communities of migrant workers.

The U.S. has not gone into any further detail since then.

Napolitano, who was secretary of Homeland Security under President Barack Obama when the DACA program began in 2012, also expressed doubt that Congress will be able to approve the DREAM Act before March, when Trump has said he'll rescind the deferred deportation program.



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